Nomination Oscar 2010: le mie previsioni

Ci siamo: THIS IS THE DAY! Oggi, domenica 7 marzo 2010 finalmente saranno consegnati gli Oscar per la stagione cinematografica 2009! Sono elettrizzato, perchè è l'evento che più di tutti aspetto di anno in anno.
Visto che già al liceo guardavo la cerimonia in diretta dopo aver scommesso sui possibili vincitori, quest'anno non sarò da meno e, come già per i Golden Globes, lascerò ai posteri la lista con le mie personalissime previsioni sui vincitori! Chiunque desideri inviarmi la sua sarà ben accetto, le sfide mi piacciono (Lavi, tu lo sai bene)!
Quindi ecco come funziona: il voto sarà doppio per ogni categoria, diviso in chi penso che vincerà (*) e chi vorrei vedere vincitore (§). A ogni * corrisponde 1 punto, § = 1/2 punto e *§ insieme varranno comunque 1 punto soltanto. Domani sapremo se sarò riuscito a superarmi (l'anno scorso ho azzeccato esattamente la metà delle categorie) oppure no.
Incrocio le dita e............. GIOCHIAMO!

82nd Annual Academy Awards®

(Prima di iniziare, notiamo la mancanza di un film italiano in gara come miglior film straniero. Siccome l'anno scorso hanno escluso "Gomorra" in una maniera non molto pulita, tutti - io compreso - si aspettavano quantomeno la nomination assicurata quest'anno. Ma dato che siamo stati esclusi lo stesso, come hanno fatto per rimediare? Una nomination al trucco per "Il divo"! E, magari, pure la statuetta! Della serie: accontentatevi...)

* Vincerà § Vorrei vincesse
Best Motion Picture of the Year * Avatar (2009): James Cameron, Jon Landau
The Blind Side (2009): Gil Netter, Andrew A. Kosove, Broderick Johnson
District 9 (2009): Peter Jackson, Carolynne Cunningham
An Education (2009): Finola Dwyer, Amanda Posey
The Hurt Locker (2008): Kathryn Bigelow, Mark Boal, Nicolas Chartier, Greg Shapiro
§ Inglourious Basterds (2009): Lawrence Bender
Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009): Lee Daniels, Sarah Siegel-Magness, Gary Magness
A Serious Man (2009): Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Up (2009): Jonas Rivera
Up in the Air (2009/I): Daniel Dubiecki, Ivan Reitman, Jason Reitman

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role * Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart (2009)
George Clooney for Up in the Air (2009/I)
§ Colin Firth for A Single Man (2009)
Morgan Freeman for Invictus (2009)
Jeremy Renner for The Hurt Locker (2008)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role * Sandra Bullock for The Blind Side (2009)
Helen Mirren for The Last Station (2009)
Carey Mulligan for An Education (2009)
Gabourey Sidibe for Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009)
§ Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia (2009)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role Matt Damon for Invictus (2009)
Woody Harrelson for The Messenger (2009/I)
Christopher Plummer for The Last Station (2009)
§ Stanley Tucci for The Lovely Bones (2009)
* Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds (2009)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role § Penélope Cruz for Nine (2009)
Vera Farmiga for Up in the Air (2009/I)
Maggie Gyllenhaal for Crazy Heart (2009)
Anna Kendrick for Up in the Air (2009/I)
* Mo'Nique for Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009)

Best Achievement in Directing *§ Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker (2008)
James Cameron for Avatar (2009)
Lee Daniels for Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009)
Jason Reitman for Up in the Air (2009/I)
Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds (2009)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen * The Hurt Locker (2008): Mark Boal
§ Inglourious Basterds (2009): Quentin Tarantino
The Messenger (2009/I): Alessandro Camon, Oren Moverman
A Serious Man (2009): Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Up (2009): Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Thomas McCarthy

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published District 9 (2009): Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell
An Education (2009): Nick Hornby
In the Loop (2009): Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009): Geoffrey Fletcher
*§ Up in the Air (2009/I): Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner

Best Achievement in Cinematography * Avatar (2009): Mauro Fiore
Das weisse Band - Eine deutsche Kindergeschichte (2009): Christian Berger
§ Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009): Bruno Delbonnel
The Hurt Locker (2008): Barry Ackroyd
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Robert Richardson

Best Achievement in Editing * Avatar (2009): Stephen E. Rivkin, John Refoua, James Cameron
District 9 (2009): Julian Clarke
§ The Hurt Locker (2008): Bob Murawski, Chris Innis
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Sally Menke
Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009): Joe Klotz

Best Achievement in Art Direction * Avatar (2009): Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg, Kim Sinclair
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus (2009): David Warren, Anastasia Masaro, Caroline Smith
§ Nine (2009): John Myhre, Gordon Sim
Sherlock Holmes (2009): Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
The Young Victoria (2009): Patrice Vermette, Maggie Gray

Best Achievement in Costume Design Bright Star (2009): Janet Patterson
Coco avant Chanel (2009): Catherine Leterrier
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus (2009): Monique Prudhomme
Nine (2009): Colleen Atwood
*§ The Young Victoria (2009): Sandy Powell

Best Achievement in Makeup *§ Il divo (2008): Aldo Signoretti, Vittorio Sodano
Star Trek (2009): Barney Burman, Mindy Hall, Joel Harlow
The Young Victoria (2009): John Henry Gordon, Jenny Shircore

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score Avatar (2009): James Horner
Fantastic Mr. Fox (2009): Alexandre Desplat
The Hurt Locker (2008): Marco Beltrami, Buck Sanders
Sherlock Holmes (2009): Hans Zimmer
*§ Up (2009): Michael Giacchino

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song *§ Crazy Heart (2009): T-Bone Burnett, Ryan Bingham("The Weary Kind")
Faubourg 36 (2008): Reinhardt Wagner, Frank Thomas("Loin de Paname")
Nine (2009): Maury Yeston("Take It All")
The Princess and the Frog (2009): Randy Newman("Almost There")
The Princess and the Frog (2009): Randy Newman("Down in New Orleans")

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing * Avatar (2009): Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson, Tony Johnson
The Hurt Locker (2008): Paul N.J. Ottosson, Ray Beckett
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti, Mark Ulano
§ Star Trek (2009): Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson, Peter J. Devlin
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009): Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Geoffrey Patterson

Best Achievement in Sound Editing * Avatar (2009): Christopher Boyes, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
The Hurt Locker (2008): Paul N.J. Ottosson
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Wylie Stateman
§ Star Trek (2009): Mark P. Stoeckinger, Alan Rankin
Up (2009): Michael Silvers, Tom Myers

Best Achievement in Visual Effects *§ Avatar (2009): Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham, Andy Jones
District 9 (2009): Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros, Matt Aitken
Star Trek (2009): Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh, Burt Dalton

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year § Coraline (2009): Henry Selick
Fantastic Mr. Fox (2009): Wes Anderson
The Princess and the Frog (2009): John Musker, Ron Clements
The Secret of Kells (2009): Tomm Moore
* Up (2009): Pete Docter

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year Ajami (2009)(Israel)
*§ Das weisse Band - Eine deutsche Kindergeschichte (2009)(Germany)
El secreto de sus ojos (2009)(Argentina)
Un prophète (2009)(France)
La teta asustada (2009)(Peru)

Best Documentary, Features Burma VJ: Reporter i et lukket land (2008): Anders Østergaard, Lise Lense-Møller
The Cove (2009): Louie Psihoyos, Fisher Stevens
§ Food, Inc. (2008): Robert Kenner, Elise Pearlstein
* The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers (2009): Judith Ehrlich, Rick Goldsmith
Which Way Home (2009): Rebecca Cammisa

Best Documentary, Short Subjects China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province (2009) (TV): Jon Alpert, Matthew O'Neill
§ The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner (2009): Daniel Junge, Henry Ansbacher
The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant (2009) (TV): Steven Bognar, Julia Reichert
Królik po berlinsku (2009): Bartosz Konopka, Anna Wydra
* Music by Prudence (2010): Roger Ross Williams, Elinor Burkett

Best Short Film, Animated French Roast (2008): Fabrice Joubert
Granny O'Grimm's Sleeping Beauty (2008): Nicky Phelan, Darragh O'Connell
* La dama y la muerte (2009): Javier Recio Gracia
Logorama (2009): Nicolas Schmerkin
§ Wallace and Gromit in 'A Matter of Loaf and Death' (2008) (TV): Nick Park

Best Short Film, Live Action * The Door (2008): Juanita Wilson, James Flynn
Istället för abrakadabra (2008): Patrik Eklund, Mathias Fjällström
Kavi (2009): Gregg Helvey
§ Miracle Fish (2009): Luke Doolan, Drew Bailey
The New Tenants (2009): Joachim Back, Tivi Magnusson



Prima di chiudere, ancora qualche considerazione:
- c'è chi vorrebbe una totale disfatta per "Avatar", questa sera, ma io non lo darei così per certo. E' vero che "The Hurt Loker" è un avversario agguerrito, ma sugli aspetti tecnici "Avatar" non lo batte nessuno;
- se, come spero, la Bigelow (ex moglie di James Cameron) dovesse vincere, sarebbe la prima donna nella categoria miglior regia;
- Meryl Streep è alla sua 16esima nomination, record assoluto per il premio, che non le conferisce un premio, però, dall'edizione del 1983;
- se la Cruz dovesse vincere anche quest'anno, sarebbe una delle pochissime a ricevere due Oscar in due anni consecutivi.



Ric